Did the fall market come back?
Short answer: sellers did, buyers partly did, and homes are taking longer to sell. That's the September 2026 story across Kingston and the surrounding area.
You might have noticed there was no August update. Honestly, August went so fast it got away from us. We spent the month getting listings ready for the fall market, and it was gone before we knew it.
So this post starts with a quick look back at August across the whole Kingston and Area Association of REALTORS® (KAREA) board. Then it goes community by community through September: Kingston, Loyalist Township, Greater Napanee, South Frontenac, Stone Mills and Gananoque. It wraps up with what the big fall outlook reports are saying, and what it all means if you're buying or selling.
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August recap: plenty of sellers, steady prices
August sales across the KAREA board were flat, but supply hit a 10-year high for the month.
To put that in perspective, there are about four times as many homes for sale now as there were in August 2021, at the height of the pandemic market (+302.6%).
Prices, meanwhile, are holding steady. KAREA's president described our market as sitting somewhere between buyer's and balanced territory. So that's where we left the summer: plenty of sellers, steady prices, and buyers taking their time.
KAREA hadn't released board-wide September numbers when we put this update together, so September is covered community by community below.
Interest rates: a hold in September, a question mark for October
The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25 per cent on September 2, its seventh decision in a row with no change (Bank of Canada).
Two things from that announcement matter for housing:
• Bond yields are up. The Bank pointed out that long-term bond yields have moved up, including here in Canada. Fixed mortgage rates tend to follow bond yields, so even when the Bank sits still, fixed rates don't automatically get cheaper.
• Inflation risk is higher. The Bank said the risks of higher inflation have increased, with energy prices still elevated and new tariffs between Canada and the U.S.
That has people talking about the next announcement on October 28. In mid-September, markets were treating an October hike as close to a coin flip, a big change from early September, when they were pricing in a 94 per cent chance of a hold (BNN Bloomberg). To be fair, several bank economists, including at RBC and Desjardins, still expect the Bank to hold for the rest of this year. But a rate increase is very much back on the table.
What this means for first-time buyers
If you've been waiting for rates to come down, that may not be the direction we're heading. This could be a good time to get pre-approved and lock in a rate. Most lenders will hold a rate for 90 to 120 days, which protects you if rates go up while you're shopping (Money.ca). Terms vary, so ask your lender or mortgage broker what they offer.
And remember, this is a buyer's market. You've got more homes to choose from than we've seen in years, and room to negotiate.
Kingston real estate: sellers showed up
Kingston, our biggest market, gives the clearest answer: new listings jumped more than 30 per cent from August, but sales didn't keep pace.
That's 86 more new listings than August, so sellers did come back after the summer. Baked into that number, though, are sellers who cancelled and relisted to get fresh eyes on their homes.
Buyers didn't keep pace, which works out to more than three new listings for every home that sold. Prices softened a little: the median is down about 1 per cent from a year ago, and the year-to-date average is basically flat, up 0.3 per cent. No big repricing, just a slow drift.
Where you really see the shift is at the negotiating table. Nearly 88 per cent of sales closed below list price, and only 8 per cent sold over asking, down from 11.5 per cent last September. We also saw 151 listings terminated in September, up from 118 in August: sellers pulling their homes without a sale.
Loyalist Township real estate: buyers came back here
Loyalist is where the fall market looks most like a comeback, with sales up more than 50 per cent from last September.
Total dollar volume was up almost 33 per cent from a year ago.
Why is the average price down 13 per cent?
Don't read too much into that headline. The median price, which is the middle sale, is actually up almost 3 per cent. Last September included some higher-priced sales that pulled the average up, so this is about which homes sold, not a drop in values. Year to date, both the average and median are within 2 per cent of last year.
It's also worth remembering that a large part of Loyalist home sales are new builds, and that 13 per cent lines up with Ontario's 13 per cent HST, which no longer applies to new homes (TRREB).
Sellers also did a bit better at the negotiating table: four of the 23 sales went over list. The trade-off is time. Buyers are there, but they're taking it.
Greater Napanee real estate: sales bounced back
After a very quiet August with just 15 sales, Greater Napanee came back with 26 in September.
A mix shift, not a 20 per cent drop
The price headline looks alarming, but look at the list prices. The homes that sold were listed about 12 per cent lower on average than a year ago. In other words, more lower-priced homes changed hands this month; homeowners aren't suddenly taking 20 per cent less.
In fact, sellers did better relative to asking, and four homes sold over list. For a more honest read, look at year to date: the median is down 5 per cent. So there is some real softening in Napanee, just nowhere near what the September headline suggests.
South Frontenac real estate: fewer sales, faster sales
South Frontenac is a split picture: sales were down sharply, but the homes that sold went quickly. It's a small sample of 18 sales, so year to date matters here too.
That's more than four new listings for every sale. But median days on market dropped to 28, which tells me well-priced homes in South Frontenac are still moving.
The September median is up about 7 per cent, but again, that's a small group of sales. Year to date, the median is down 5.5 per cent, and terminations are up over 22 per cent. A lot of sellers who aren't priced to the market are pulling their listings.
Stone Mills real estate: the year-to-date view
Stone Mills is a small market, with 16 sales in September, so year-to-date figures give the truer picture: fewer sales, more listings and slightly lower median prices.
One or two unusual sales can swing the monthly numbers wildly. In August, for example, the average price was $913,000 while the median was $425,000. A few higher-priced sales pulled the average way up.
One thing worth flagging for September: 59 new listings came on, compared with 22 in August and 30 last September. That's a big wave of supply for a market this size, so buyers in Stone Mills have more choice heading into the fall.
Gananoque real estate: the year-to-date view
Gananoque is our smallest market, with just eight sales in September. Year to date, prices are holding, but homes are taking longer to sell and more sellers are pulling out.
Terminations have doubled. That's a lot of sellers deciding to come off the market rather than adjust their price.
For what it's worth, all eight September sales closed below asking. It's a small number, but it fits the year-to-date story: buyers in Gananoque have room to negotiate.
So, did the fall market come back?
Sellers came back, buyers came back in some places, and the pace slowed almost everywhere.
What the big reports are saying
RE/MAX Canada released its Fall 2026 Housing Market Outlook on October 7, and Kingston is in it (RE/MAX Canada). Looking at January through July, it found Kingston's average price essentially flat compared with last year, with sales down about 4.5 per cent. It classifies Kingston as a buyer's market and estimates the average price will finish 2026 up about 1 per cent, to around $644,700, with sales down about 3 per cent.
It's not just us, either. Nationally, RE/MAX expects about a third of the markets it tracks (32 per cent) to be firmly in buyers' territory this fall, up from about 15 per cent a year ago. As Don Kottick, president of RE/MAX Canada, put it, the market "has not become easy for buyers, but in many regions, it is allowing for a more deliberate purchasing process." That's exactly what we're seeing locally.
Tips if you're selling
• Price it right from day one. The homes that sold quickly were priced well. The ones that weren't are sitting, or getting pulled off the market.
• Expect to negotiate. Most homes across the area are selling below asking.
• Plan for more time. Days on market is up almost everywhere, and that number only counts the homes that sold.
Tips if you're buying
• Use your choice. There are more homes for sale than we've seen in years.
• Negotiate, and keep your conditions. With most homes selling below asking, you have room to include financing and inspection conditions without fighting a bidding war.
• Lock in a rate. With an October 28 rate hike on the table, ask your lender about a 90 to 120-day rate hold.
Stay informed
Local markets move differently, and the headline numbers don't always tell the full story. If you want to know what this means for your home or your search, reach out anytime at lwrealty.ca or 613-389-7777. We'll cover the Bank of Canada's October 28 decision in next month's update.
Sources
• KAREA MLS® Market Insights, September 2026 (community figures)
• KAREA board-wide statistics, August 2026 (CREA)
• Bank of Canada interest rate announcement, September 2, 2026
• Money.ca: rate holds and the October rate decision (September 23, 2026)
• RE/MAX Canada: Canadian Housing Market Outlook, Fall 2026 (October 7, 2026)