The May 2026 real estate data is in for Kingston and the surrounding region — and if you've been watching the market closely, you'll recognize the theme: this is a market finding its footing.
Prices are softer than they were a year ago in most communities, inventory is up, and buyers are taking their time. But the picture isn't uniformly cautious. Some communities are showing genuine price resilience. Days on market have stretched, but sale-to-list ratios remain strong in the right neighbourhoods. The market isn't broken — it's rebalancing.
In this month's update, we dig into the numbers for six communities — Kingston, Loyalist Township, Greater Napanee, South Frontenac, Stone Mills, and Gananoque — and we address two significant local factors that are shaping buyer and seller behaviour in ways that go well beyond interest rates: the INVISTA layoffs and the Alto high-speed rail uncertainty.
What's Driving the Market Right Now
1. The INVISTA Layoffs
On June 5, 2026, MPP Ted Hsu confirmed that more than 100 workers had been let go at the INVISTA plant in Kingston — representing over 14% of the entire local workforce at the facility. INVISTA is Kingston's largest private sector employer, and Hsu noted that the impact of cuts at a facility of this size is felt "well beyond the plant gates — by families, suppliers, local businesses, and the broader community."
This is very recent news — it happened after the May data was collected — but it's directly relevant to anyone making a housing decision in Kingston right now. A loss of over 100 jobs at the city's largest employer introduces a degree of employment uncertainty that tends to show up in real estate activity within 60 to 90 days. We'll be watching the June and July numbers carefully.
To be clear: this does not mean the Kingston market is in trouble. Kingston's economy is diverse — the presence of Queen's University, Kingston Health Sciences Centre, CFB Kingston, and a growing technology and government services sector means the city is not dependent on any single employer. But it is a factor, and informed buyers and sellers should have it on their radar.
2. The Alto High-Speed Rail Uncertainty
The federal government's Crown corporation Alto is developing a high-speed rail network linking Toronto and Quebec City — and Kingston is not currently on the official list of seven stations. The mayors of Kingston and South Frontenac have been publicly lobbying for a stop here, and Premier Doug Ford backed routing along the Highway 401 corridor in March 2026.
For most Kingston buyers and sellers, the HSR story is background noise. But for anyone considering rural or acreage properties in Frontenac, Stone Mills, or Lennox and Addington — it isn't.
The route through this region hasn't been defined. And that uncertainty is creating real hesitation among some buyers and landowners, particularly around the risk of expropriation. Until Alto provides clarity on the corridor, rural properties along potential route paths may face a discount that wouldn't otherwise exist — and some buyers are holding off entirely until the picture becomes clearer.
This uncertainty isn't a reason to panic or to wait indefinitely. But if you're buying or selling a larger-lot or rural property in South Frontenac, Stone Mills, or the Lennox and Addington area, it's a conversation worth having with your agent before you make your move.
3. Inventory Is Up — Significantly
Across nearly every community in this report, new listings are running ahead of last year. In Gananoque, new listings are up 34% year to date. In Kingston, new listings are up modestly but transaction volume is down — meaning more supply is sitting on the market longer. This is one of the biggest structural shifts in this market compared to 2024.
More inventory means more choice for buyers, more competition for sellers, and — when combined with softer demand — longer days on market. The median days on market in Kingston year to date is 23 days, up from 19 days last year. That's not alarming, but it's a meaningful change in the rhythm of the market.
4. Prices Are Softening — But Stabilizing
The Royal LePage Q1 2026 report for Kingston noted that the aggregate home price decreased 6.3% year over year to $727,000 — a meaningful correction from the peak. But the May data suggests that correction is moderating. Kingston's year-to-date average price is down only 2.0% from last year. Napanee's YTD average is up 6.0%. Gananoque is up 5.9% year to date. The free-fall some observers feared has not materialized.
Community-by-Community Breakdown
Kingston
YTD Average Price: $620,299 | YTD Change: −2.0% | 676 sales year to date
Kingston remains the largest, most liquid, and most closely watched market in the region. With 191 sales in May and a median sale-to-list ratio of 97.7% year to date, well-priced properties are still moving and sellers are still getting close to what they're asking.
The year-to-date average of $620,299 is a mild correction from last year — not a collapse. Days on market have stretched to a median of 23 days YTD (up from 19), reflecting a more deliberate buyer pool rather than a distressed one.
The INVISTA news is the key watch item for Kingston heading into summer. We don't yet know how many of those 100-plus affected workers are homeowners, or how they'll respond. But it's a real factor and we'll be reporting on it as the data develops.
For buyers in Kingston: you have more time and more choice than you've had in years. Use it wisely — but don't assume the entire market is slow. Well-priced, well-presented homes in desirable neighbourhoods are still attracting real interest.
Loyalist Township
YTD Average Price: $568,096 | YTD Change: −3.7% | 118 sales year to date
Loyalist Township delivered one of the more interesting data points in this month's report: 20% of May sales closed above asking price — the highest rate in the region. The average sale-to-list ratio was 99.5%. Days on market dropped sharply from 41 in April to 28 in May.
What that says is that Loyalist isn't a slow market — it's a selective one. Buyers know what they want here, and when the right property comes along at the right price, competition is real. The YTD average of $568,096 is down 3.7% from last year, which represents a modest correction in a community that ran very hot during the pandemic years.
For buyers considering Loyalist: don't assume you have the upper hand on every property. Come prepared to move when the right one appears.
Greater Napanee
YTD Average Price: $527,300 | YTD Change: +6.0% | 78 sales year to date
Napanee is the standout on year-to-date price performance in this report. The YTD average of $527,300 is up 6% from the same period last year — the strongest sustained price growth of any community we cover.
May itself was softer, with average prices pulling back from April. But the YTD trend is unmistakably positive, and transaction volume bounced back strongly with 24 sales after a slow April. Napanee continues to attract buyers who want more home and more land for their dollar, and at just over half a million dollars for the average sale, it represents genuine value relative to Kingston and Loyalist.
The Alto rail route uncertainty is relevant here too. If the corridor runs through Lennox and Addington, larger rural properties could face expropriation concerns. If you're considering acreage in the Napanee area, that conversation is worth having with your agent.
Napanee's YTD price growth is the strongest signal in this report that value-conscious buyers have been paying attention — and acting on it.
South Frontenac
YTD Average Price: $594,957 | YTD Change: −12.2% | 84 sales year to date
South Frontenac has experienced the sharpest year-over-year price correction in our report — down 12.2% on the YTD average, with the YTD median down 13.8%. But context is everything here.
South Frontenac was one of the biggest beneficiaries of the pandemic-era urban exodus. Buyers arrived from Toronto and Ottawa in significant numbers, pushing prices up fast and hard on rural properties, waterfront, and larger lots. The correction we're seeing now is largely a normalization of that run-up, not a sign of structural weakness in the community.
Days on market average 52 days — the longest in our report — and transaction volume is down significantly year over year. The Alto uncertainty is most acutely felt here: the mayors of Kingston and South Frontenac have been publicly lobbying for the 401 corridor route precisely because of what a rural routing through Frontenac could mean for land values and expropriation exposure.
For buyers with a long view and patience: South Frontenac offers the most significant opportunity in this report. Prices have come down, sellers are more motivated, and the lifestyle the area offers hasn't changed.
Stone Mills
YTD Average Price: $547,626 | YTD Change: −2.7% | 34 sales year to date
Stone Mills is a small market — 34 sales year to date — which means individual transactions move the averages meaningfully. Month-to-month volatility is high and should be interpreted with that in mind.
The YTD average of $547,626 is down only 2.7% from last year, a relatively mild correction. But days on market are long at 52 days on average, and terminations are rising — 29 year to date versus 20 in the same period last year. Some sellers are listing, not getting what they need, and withdrawing. That's a signal that pricing expectations and market reality aren't always aligned.
The Alto rail uncertainty applies here in the same way as South Frontenac and Napanee. For anyone considering a rural property purchase in Stone Mills, understanding the potential route paths — and what they might mean for specific parcels — is important due diligence.
Gananoque
YTD Average Price: $513,666 | YTD Change: +5.9% | 32 sales year to date
Gananoque had a strong May — 14 sales, double April's volume, with an average price of $582,536. The YTD average of $513,666 is up 5.9% from last year, making it one of only two communities in this report showing positive year-over-year price growth alongside Napanee.
What's driving Gananoque? The Thousand Islands lifestyle continues to attract buyers who made a decision about where they want to live and haven't changed their minds. Recreational and waterfront properties remain in demand. New listings are up 34% year to date, but demand has kept pace with that increased supply.
All May sales closed below asking, with an average SP/LP of 94.2% — so buyers do have room to negotiate. But the overall price trend is still moving upward, which tells you that motivated, informed buyers are still participating in this market.
What This Means for You
If You're Thinking About Buying
• You have more negotiating room than you've had in years in most communities — but it isn't uniform. Loyalist Township is still competitive on the right properties. Kingston's core is still active. Know your target community before assuming you can lowball.
• Rural and acreage buyers in South Frontenac, Stone Mills, and Lennox and Addington should factor Alto rail uncertainty into their due diligence. Not as a reason to avoid these areas — but as something to understand before you commit.
• The INVISTA layoffs are brand new. If you're buying in Kingston and want to wait 60 days to see how that plays out in the market, that's a reasonable approach — though there's no guarantee conditions improve or prices soften further.
• Interest rates have improved meaningfully from their peak. Buyers who've been sitting on the sidelines for affordability reasons should run the numbers again — the picture may have changed more than they realize.
If You're Thinking About Selling
• Pricing accuracy is the single most important decision you'll make. Homes priced to reflect today's market are selling. Homes priced to reflect 2022 are sitting — and often terminating. The data on termination volumes across every community in this report makes that point clearly.
• Presentation matters more than it did when the market was hot. Buyers are comparing more carefully, have more options, and are quicker to pass on homes that aren't showing well. First impressions — online and in person — are everything.
• If you own a larger rural or acreage property in South Frontenac, Stone Mills, or Lennox and Addington, talk to your agent now about the Alto situation. You want to understand how to position your property and how to address buyer concerns before they come up in negotiation.
The Bottom Line
The Kingston area real estate market in May 2026 is a market in transition — softer than it was at the peak, but not in free-fall. Prices are moderating, inventory is growing, and buyers have more power than they've had in several years.
But this is not a market where you can afford to be uninformed. The INVISTA layoffs are a real near-term variable for Kingston. The Alto rail route is a real medium-term variable for rural communities. And pricing — always important — has never mattered more for sellers who want to actually close.
The good news is that for buyers who are ready to act, and sellers who are willing to price honestly, there is a functional market here. Deals are getting done. The right properties are finding the right buyers.
Have questions about what any of this means for your situation? We'd love to talk. Reach out at lwrealty.ca — no pressure, no obligation, just a honest conversation about where things stand.

